Autism Rate Rises To 1 In 50 Children – Cause Still A Mystery

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[Source: Wikipedia]

[Source: Wikipedia]

In 2002 the Center for Disease Control estimated that autism affected about 1 in 150 children. By 2012 the CDC estimate had increased to 1 in 88. Now, according to the latest revision of the estimate recently released, autism affects 1 in 50 children. That’s a phenomenal 300 percent increase in 11 years. But do the numbers reflect a real increase in the incidence of autism or are previously undiagnosed cases now being diagnosed? The authors of the study tend to think it’s the latter, but others question whether the increase can be explained entirely by wider diagnoses.

In recent decades there has been a consistent increase in the reported prevalence of autism. Two National Health Interview Surveys, national telephone surveys conducted by the CDC, showed prevalence to increase almost four-fold between a 1997 – 1999 survey and a 2006 – 2008 survey. Concurrently, the CDC’s Autism and Developmental Disabilities Monitoring Network showed a 78 percent increase in autism spectrum disorder (ASD), that includes all variants of disease related to autism, between 2002 and 2008.

A new National Interview Survey shows that, between 2007 and 2011 – 2012, the prevalence of parent-reported autistic children between 6- to 17-years-old increased from 1.16 percent in 2007 to 2 percent – or, from 1 in 88 to 1 in 50. But rather than a true increase in the actual prevalence of autism, the authors argue that “…much of the recent increase was the result of diagnoses of children with previously unrecognized ASD.” Consistent with that idea is that the ratio of cases occurring in boys and girls has not changed – boys remain about four times as likely to be affected by autism than girls.

The increase in autistic cases over the past decade is thought to be due to more thorough screening rather than a true spike in autism. [Source: CDC]

The increase in autistic cases over the past decade is thought to be due to more thorough screening rather than a true spike in autism. [Source: CDC]

Reasons for improved diagnoses are speculative at this point, but the authors suggest that greater awareness on the part of the parents and health care professionals could be a factor. They also mention that increased access to diagnostic services, changes in screening practices, or greater access to special education programs might have contributed.

Right now the official government estimate remains at 1 in 88, but additional data suggest that the true incidence of autism is indeed closer to 1 in 50. The 1 in 88 figure is based on school and medical records, so it misses many children not enrolled in assistance programs. Estimates from a survey conducted by Autism Speaks that screened children directly in communities were closer to the 1 in 50 figure. One survey, for instance, that they conducted in South Korea showed 1 in 38 children were autistic.

Commenting on the 2012 study, however, former president of Autism Speaks, Mark Roithmayr, wasn’t ready to chalk up the entire increase to a widening diagnostic net. “Only part of the increase can be explained by better and broader diagnoses,” he told Time. “There is a great unknown. Something is going on here, and we don’t know.”

The symptoms for autism can usually be identified by 18 months of age. Ideally, diagnosing autism would involve comprehensive behavioral evaluations, which can be complex and time-consuming. But new data suggests that brain scans may be effective in diagnosing autism, even in children as young as six months. While that technology matures, however, clinicians and parents are left with traditional methods. And although the American Academy of Pediatrics recommends that all children be screened by age two, many of those with milder symptoms don’t actually get diagnosed until they are old enough to attend school where difficulties with peer interactions gain the attention of teachers and parents.

Scientists continue to struggle to determine the root cause of autism. It is a complex condition, as indicated by the broader term, autism spectrum disorder, but it’s thought to be about strongly related to genetics. The CDC plans on following up the current study by taking a more detailed look at its findings and analyzing correlations between autism prevalence and sociodemographic factors and differences in healthcare. That won’t get to the genetic root of the disorder but may uncover environmental factors that contribute to its cause.

As slow as the going may be, progress is being made in the diagnosis and prevention of ASD. In addition to the new brain scan studies, one recent study suggests that taking folic acid during pregnancy may actually decrease chances for ASD. The possibility that more children with autism are being detected will not only benefit the children but, in the long run, hopefully researchers as well.

Discussion — 26 Responses

  • Yusuf Kader April 8, 2013 on 10:41 am

    I have worked with autism and lately I found this amazing help on his website, so hesitantly I thought why not. So I visit this site and truly it helped me enormously. I truly recommend you visit for yourself I`m sure you will find answers. http://www.aweb2success.com/autism

  • spinxt April 8, 2013 on 1:16 pm

    think the root cause is fairly simple.
    As every animal , one adjust to his environment.
    see our mass produced world , food and products , and boring monotone jobs.
    A newborn adjust to it’s environment , does not take 15 generations.

    • Panpiper spinxt April 8, 2013 on 2:19 pm

      So you assert that say fifty years ago, our world was less mass produced and people had less boring jobs? I think maybe you should rethink your theory.

  • Panpiper April 8, 2013 on 1:17 pm

    I’d like to know if there is a correlation between the incidence of autism and the degree of sugar/starch consumption on the part of the mother.

    • colin Panpiper May 22, 2013 on 9:10 pm

      Interesting theory ! what’s the history of sugar/starch consumption over the last 20 years?

  • Justin Ferguson April 9, 2013 on 2:12 pm

    It’s shocking to see how many people are out of touch with reality. Autism was never a problem, and over the last 15-20 years it has soared to a shocking 1 in 50. This doesn’t count the numerous 8 year old kids that i’ve come across that cannot speak normal. Why is it happening? Wake up people! Vaccinations. When you are putting mercury based POISON, 20-50 times in your child before the age of 6, your kid is bound to be completely brain damaged. And it makes me so sad that the FDA, in compliance with the pharmaceutical companies are continuing to force vaccinations on children for billions of dollars of profit that is used to buy up your politicians. Vaccines are not required, yet thousands of families don’t even know this. I’ll stick to the studies have shown that Mercury causes brain damage. And inflicting mercury on your 18 month old child is irresponsible and asking for disaster. I can’t even describe the level of madness and corruption of the establishment. It goes from 1 in 121, to 1 in 88, now to 1 in 50, what next? When will this stop? When will people wake up? When it’s 4/10 children that are born normal? This is total Eugenics based propaganda to destroy the family and further the collectivist agenda, and under Agenda 21, to depopulate the world for future sustainable development by the disgusting weirdo’s who are causing all of this harm. Bill Gates gave 60,000 children from India the polio vaccine. It lead all 60,000 to die or become completely paralyzed. Look it up. This is a Eugenics based New World Order cult.

    • Justin Ferguson Justin Ferguson April 9, 2013 on 2:16 pm

      It’s shocking to see how many people are out of touch with reality. Autism was never a problem, and over the last 15-20 years it has soared to a shocking 1 in 50. This doesn’t count the numerous 8 year old kids that i’ve come across that cannot speak normal. Why is it happening? Wake up people! Vaccinations. When you are putting mercury based POISON, 20-50 times in your child before the age of 6, your kid is bound to be completely brain damaged. And it makes me so sad that the FDA, in compliance with the pharmaceutical companies are continuing to force vaccinations on children for billions of dollars of profit that is used to buy up your politicians. Vaccines are not required, yet thousands of families don’t even know this. I’ll stick to the studies have shown that Mercury causes brain damage. And inflicting mercury on your 18 month old child is irresponsible and asking for disaster. I can’t even describe the level of madness and corruption of the establishment. It goes from 1 in 121, to 1 in 88, now to 1 in 50, what next? When will this stop? When will people wake up? When it’s 4/10 children that are normal? This is total Eugenics based propaganda to destroy the family and further the collectivist agenda, and under Agenda 21, to depopulate the world for future sustainable development by the disgusting weirdo’s who are causing all of this harm. Bill Gates gave 60,000 children from India the polio vaccine. It lead all 60,000 to die or become completely paralyzed. Look it up. This is a Eugenics based New World Order cult.

      • Justin Ferguson Justin Ferguson April 9, 2013 on 2:20 pm

        And it’s called Thimerosal. It is a mercury-containing preservative used in vaccines. The Pharma companies are poisoning the population.

        Take a look at SRI’s and SSRI’s——These drugs alone have led the United States to becoming the #1 leader in the world in Suicide deaths. Suicide, not car accidents, is the #1 cause of unnatural death in the United States.

        The big Pharma companies are corrupt. And people that don’t see this are as dumb as the day is long. 1+1=2. Don’t forget it.

    • Daniel Ryan Justin Ferguson April 10, 2013 on 11:22 pm

      There is 0 evidence to suggest vaccinations are linked. Go look up the peer review studies and not blogs.

      • colin Daniel Ryan May 22, 2013 on 9:13 pm

        Mind you, there is a link with Encephalitis and vaccines.
        even the manufacturers admit it.

    • Daniel Ryan Justin Ferguson April 10, 2013 on 11:27 pm

      There is zero evidence that vaccinations have anything to do with the increasing rate of autism. Go look up the peer review scientific papers and actually look at the evidence.

      http://www.sciencebasedmedicine.org/index.php/mercury-in-vaccines-and-autism-a-failed-hypothesis/

      • RKae Daniel Ryan April 11, 2013 on 8:16 am

        After a couple decades of the Global Warming (excuse me – “Climate Change”) scam, I’m ready to say that I’m pretty damned unimpressed with the phrase “peer reviewed.” Science has been corrupted. When there are billions of dollars at stake, scientists will “bend the truth” to fit whatever they want to fit. There are plenty of scientists willing to whore themselves out to the corporate money machine.

        It’s not just mercury in vaccines; it’s the aluminum as well – something that should NEVER be introduced into the bloodstream. Also: the number of vaccinations is going through the roof. 33 vaccinations in 6 years? In a child? Good God. And are they effective? When there’s a whooping cough outbreak and 94% of the kids were vaccinated (84% of them twice) then that pretty much shows vaccines to be a joke.

        And the phrase “zero evidence” is a mark of utter ignorance and a sure sign of unwillingness to doubt the establishment. It’s a propaganda line, not reality.

        The thing that makes scientists so corrupt is that they think they’re impervious to corruption. And the thing that makes them so thick-headed is that they think they’re impervious to thick-headedness. (Journalists consider themselves impartial, too. It’s all a joke.)

        • Daniel Ryan RKae April 11, 2013 on 7:27 pm

          “After a couple decades of the Global Warming (excuse me – “Climate Change”) scam”
          How is it a scam? Climate change is happening(99% of scientists accept that) and will damage us if it keeps going. The debate is can we humans slow it down/stop it.

          “Science has been corrupted”
          Scientists can be corrupted yes, but the scientific community will reject them them if they can’t repeat their results. The good thing about peer review studies is that the they are accepted by the scientific community. You can go have a look at the studies yourself and see if it’s correct.

          “And the phrase “zero evidence” is a mark of utter ignorance and a sure sign of unwillingness to doubt the establishment.”
          Then show me a peer review study.

          • Dave Carroll Daniel Ryan May 14, 2013 on 1:10 am

            Fuck a peer reviewed study. What good is peer reviews when all the peers are liars?

          • Daniel Ryan Daniel Ryan May 14, 2013 on 2:50 pm

            “Fuck a peer reviewed study. What good is peer
            reviews when all the peers are liars?”
            So the whole scientific community is a liar?
            Evidence is only accepted if it’s repeatable by others in the scientific community.

  • t April 10, 2013 on 5:59 am

    Its a combination of genetic and environmental conditions. People who have ‘autistic’genes if exposed to conditions that can aggravate it…develop autism or any of the autism spectrum disorders.

  • knpstr April 18, 2013 on 12:51 pm

    My question is in the link that under listed side-effects of some vaccines, such as MMR, DTaP, etc… “brain damage” is listed. If brain damage is a side effect and autism, while not well understood, has to do with the brain not communicating correctly, could their not be a link? I understand it is not testable, and therefore can’t be proven, in the scientific method, but I have a difficult time believing that something with a side effect of brain damage or brain inflammation isn’t linked in some way to disease with brain dysfunction.

    For example, I know a little girl that within 2 weeks of receiving a vaccine started having seizures and now has scarring on her brain. Despite “moderate” side effects of seizures and “severe” side effects of brain damage, doctors still won’t acknowledge that the vaccines caused it. She was diagnosed with ADEM or Acute disseminated encephalomyelitis, which means Acute=Sudden, Disseminated=Widespread, Encephalomyelitis=Brain Inflammation, and was said caused from “an unknown infection”.

    The doctors told her it could develop into MS later in life, now that her brain is permanently scarred.

    It seems to follow a linear and logical progression thus far, from vaccine, to reaction of listed side effects of seizure and brain damage. Yet 100% denial from providers that it could be causal

  • pdfernhout April 22, 2013 on 4:59 am

    Autism is likely related to vitamin D deficiency. See Dr. John Cannell’s work on that. Dermatologists may have, unintentionally, contributed to the rise in autism by scaring parents into keeping themselves and their young children out of the sun. And our indoor lifestyle contributes to that as well, as do other factors, like a US RDA for vitamin D that is probably about 10 times too low for pregnant women.

    See also Mark Hyman’s work on “Mitochondrial Dysfunction in Autism” related to all the garbage in our diets contributing to autism as well.

    “Genetics” makes little sense as an explanation for something with a rapid rise.

  • Erica Golter April 25, 2013 on 3:21 pm

    A mystery? Have a look at flouride, aspertame, GMOs, Agent Orange.. There’s a good start

    • Daniel Ryan Erica Golter April 25, 2013 on 6:27 pm

      No the scientific community is too lazy.
      All studies for any of those have no effect on autism.

  • Ryan Lemire April 28, 2013 on 4:16 am

    ALL CHILDRENS VACCINATIONS HAVE ALUMINUM AMONG OTHER THINGS IN THEM, THAT DONT NEED TO BE THERE, ACCORDING T THE CDC WEBSITE. http://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/vac-gen/additives.htm THEY CALL THE “ADDITIVES” BUT THIS ISNT FUEL OR CEREAL WERE TALKING ABOUT. AND SOME OF THE STUFF THATS IN IT WOULD BLOW YOUR MIND. FORMALDEHYDE, Thimerosal is a mercury-containing preservative that is added to vials of vaccine that contain more than one dose to prevent contamination and growth of potentially harmful bacteria, Monosodium glutamate (MSG) and 2-phenoxy-ethanol which are used as stabilizers in a few vaccines to help the vaccine remain unchanged when the vaccine is exposed to heat, light, acidity, or humidity……………………….GO CHECK IT OUT FOR YOURSELF, WE KNOW FOR A FACT THAT ALUMINUM CAUSES ALZHEIMERS, AND MENTAL PROBLEMS, AND OBVIOUSLY HAVING ANITBOITICS IN YOU WEAKENS YOUR IMMUNE SYSTEMS. i STOPED GIVE MY CHILDREN VACCINES AND THEY HAVEN’T GOTTEN A COLD SINCE. HMMMMM VERY STRANGE. WE AS A EOPLE ARE STUPID, STOP BELEIVING WHAT THE GOVERNMENT SAYS, THEY ARE HISTORICALLY THE LARGEST LIAR EVER. THERE AGENDA IS MAKE SURE WE DEPEND ON THEM AND TO FORCE FEED US ALL THESE CHEMICALS IN ORDER TO MAINTAIN POPULATION CONTROL. THE GOVERNMENTS ALL KNOW WE HAVE LESS THAT 1000 YEARS LEFT ON THIS PLANET AND WE DONT HAVE ROOM FOR ANYMORE PEOPLE. WAKE UP.

  • Александр Чурбанов June 7, 2013 on 2:01 pm

    Accumulation of genetic load predicted by Nobel Prize winner Hermann Muller in 1950 is the primary driving cause for Autism. The good news is that 90% of the Autism cases could be prevented in the future based on time-separated twinning strategy. For more details please visit http://prevmed.big.ac.cn.

  • Alan Skyy June 21, 2013 on 4:36 pm

    I’ve started to put together my own research, I thought this would be interesting to hear.
    http://www.responsibletechnology.org/autism

  • William Hewitt August 24, 2013 on 3:52 pm

    SCPI founder and chief scientist Dr Theresa A Deisher PhD has published a study on AD Prevalence linked to contaminated vaccines since 1979 when CDC secretly changed vaccine manufacturing from animal cell lines to aborted fetal cell lines that have much higher risk of autoimmune disease (Crohn’s IBD) and Insertional Mutagenesis that inflames gut blocking immune system from excreting mercury from body resulting in mercury overload in brain and CNS of >75 ppb. CDC refused to notify Congress or public of this change until 2009 (30 years later). CDC and HHS refused to safety test the vaccine manufacturing change. Billy@isp.com

  • Lori Lamb October 20, 2013 on 5:59 pm

    Well taking one look at that photo above appears to be dated but people still consume too many foods out of aluminum cans that leach aluminum into the food, especially tomato based and then kids are subjected to numerous vaccines with toxic thimerosol (mercury) that is still in the flu vaccines, aluminum, formaldehyde and countless other ingredients. Then the skies are being sprayed with aluminum and barium to control the weather. Aluminum is toxic stuff and is killing our kids and making the rest of us very sick. http://www.skyderalert.org download the app and take photos of the chemtrails to send to your state reps and governor and demand that this practice that has been going on since the early 90’s to stop. Genetically modified seeds are aluminum resistant, are you starting to see a pattern?

  • HealthyVaccinatedFamily February 4, 2014 on 12:37 am

    There is a direct correlation in the increased use of GMO’s to the increase of Autism. Why isn’t this the topic instead of vaccines, which were around long before autism increased? I had all the vaccines in the 60’s through the seventies plus I used to play with mercury, rolling it around in my hand, coating dimes with it… it was fun to play with. I did not develop autism. This kind of experience leads me to believe the problem is elsewhere. Perhaps it is vaccines, but vaccines with eggs in it, eggs laid by chickens fed GMO corn or GMO soy protein from Hexane extracted soy. Combine that with GMO soy infant formula… Did you know that 90% of soy is now GMO? AND that the soy protein used in baby formula is ground from the flattened soy remains of the soybeans whose oil has been extracted with the toxic solvent hexane? Hexane info: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hexane#Toxicity – I mean, what effect would THAT have on an infant or small child??