The Future Is Here Today...Robots, Genetics, AI, Longevity, Singularity

the singularity: an appraisal

Noted Scifi writers Alastair Reynolds, Vernor Vinge, Karl Schroeder, and Charles Stross discuss the Singularity. Who better to ask about the future than the guys who make it up everyday?

Let’s face it. Most what we think we know about the Universe may come from science, but most of what we think we know about the future comes from science fiction. So it only makes sense that the New England Science Fiction Association’s annual convention, Boskone, featured a great panel of scifi writers discussing our favorite topic: where the exponential growth in technology is leading us, AKA, the Singularity. On hand was Alastair Reynolds, scientist and author of the Revelation Space series , Vernor Vinge mathematician, computer scientist, and author of A Fire Upon the Deep, Charles Stross, author of Accelerando, and Karl Schroeder, co-author of The Complete Idiot’s Guide To Writing Science Fiction. The panelists sought to not only explain how the concept of accelerating technologies has affected their work, but also to take a stab at what might actually happen in our real future. It’s a lot of fun to watch people who spend their lives describe the far flung future scramble to try to understand the next few decades. Hilarity and insight abounds. A video of the panel in its entirety is below courtesy of Michael Johnson, jump past 3:00 if you want to skip much of the preamble.

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Singularity University GSP

Last year's GSP class had some amazing experiences. I think these guys are all holding robots they made. Awesome.

Singularity University’s inaugural Graduate Studies Program was such a success last year that they’ve decided to double the class size. That’s an understandable trend for an institution that hopes to educate entrepreneurs and leaders about the possibilities of exponential growth and accelerating technologies. Now, 80 students will be trek out to NASA’s AMES campus in Silicon Valley from June 19th to August 28th to experience cutting edge lectures, workshops, tours of nearby labs, a Zero-G suborbital flight, and sneak peeks at NASA technology. Those interested can sign up through March 15 at the SU website. If the $25k price tag is daunting, there are some partial and full scholarships available. Like last year, students will join together to create a final project that addresses the grand challenges facing humanity: poverty, energy, environment, illness, etc. SU realizes that the accelerating technologies we develop today will affect the lives of billions in the years to come. They’re inviting you to take part in directing how that development will take shape.

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singularity-executive-programWinter break is almost over, so it’s time to start thinking about going to school, even if you’re years past your college graduation. Singularity University, based out of NASA Ames center in Silicon Valley, is a unique collection of forward-thinking faculty at the heads of their fields. The inaugural SU Summer Program, and the Fall Executive Program had great successes in 2009. Now, the 10 day Winter Executive Program is gearing up and taking applications. It will run from February 26th through March 7th and feature instructors like Ray Kurzweil, Dan Barry, Daniel Kraft, Andrew Hessel and many more. Not sure if you’re interested? Check out what SU graduates are saying about the last Executive Program in the video after the break.

When you’re running a company, or a research team, there’s not much time for continuing education. That’s why Singularity University has taken its nine week summer course and distilled it into ten days of intense experiences. Although many important upcoming technologies will not be active for years to come, those in charge of investments and entrepreneurial endeavors need to plan now for the changes that such technologies will bring. That sort of philosophy is what has kept Kurzweil successful in business and the lecture circuit for so long. SU also hopes that its Executive Program will help powerful decisions makers see the benefit of using accelerating technologies to solve the world’s “grand challenges”: hunger, poverty, energy, and climate change.

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one year old

Our Blog Is One Year Old

With 2009 now behind us it is time to take a moment to reflect on Singularity Hub’s first year of operation. With our focus on the technologies and innovations that are ushering in a new era of human ability and possibilities, our blog is filling a valuable niche that readers across the world are seeking. Our traffic has grown just about every month this year, and during the supposedly slow December full of holidays we closed the year with our best month ever, bringing in 250,000 pageviews according to Google Analytics.

As we now jump into 2010 I want you to know that things are only going to get bigger and better here at the Hub. More stories, more writers, more features, more ideas, more everything! I want to thank every one of our readers for your support and interest in our blog. 2010 is going to be an awesome year and you won’t want to miss it!

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Didn’t get enough of the Singularity University’s summer session videos? Another Singularity University presentation is now available for you to watch online!

Smarr discussed supercomputing, bandwidth, and the brain at Singularity University's summer session.

Smarr discussed supercomputing, bandwidth, and the brain at Singularity University's summer session.

As far as our brains are concerned, our world is mostly visual. In his talk at Singularity University this summer, Larry Smarr discussed how the speed of computing, and the expansion of bandwidth can communicate images so well that we’re rapidly compressing the global community into a single point. Smarr is a physicist and computing science guru, and the director of the California Institute for Information Technology (Calit2). His SU talk on supercomputing, scientific computing, and the human brain is now available on YouTube. Check it out after the break.

Very graciously, Larry Smarr makes the slides from all his presentations available on his website. You can find the Singularity University slides here to help you follow along with the video. While I recommend watching all 46 minutes, here are some highlights if you don’t have time: (6:40) Smarr discusses the petaflop computer at Los Alamos. (14:15) The eye-brain system operates at 10 gigabits per second, and that bandwidth is now available to many on the newest fiber optic internet connections between universities. (20:00) Sharing reality through photorealism. (27:10) Optical portals in Australia. (29:18) Interplanetary conferencing with the Mars rover. (32:10) Globalization 3.0. (34:05) Questions from the audience and insight into the future of post-processing in the entertainment industry.

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Why in the world would anyone believe in all this Singularity nonsense?

If you have your doubts about the exponential growth of technology continuing indefinitely, there’s a guy you should talk to: Ray Kurzweil. The author of the Singularity is Near, subject of the film Transcendent Man, and inventor of reading machines and the digital synthesizer, Kurzweil is one of the key figures at the center of the debate on how technology will grow in this century and beyond. His key argument, that information technology (and intelligence) obeys a law of accelerating returns, has helped him predict major paradigms in IT in the last 25 years.

Peter Diamandis (left) and Ray Kurzweil (right) discuss how Singularity University and the Executive Program were just concepts but a year ago.

Peter Diamandis (left) and Ray Kurzweil (right) discuss how Singularity University and the Executive Program were just concepts but a year ago.

Kurzweil is one of the founders of Singularity University and was an obvious choice to give the keynote address at the opening of SU’s nine day executive program. While that program is just now winding down, the release of videos documenting it is just getting started. Watch Kurzweil make the case for the exponential growth of IT and explain how it could affect us all in the video after the break.

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Singularity University Flag LogoWhere have all the forward thinking business executives gone? They’re in school. We warned you it was coming, and now it’s here: Singularity University’s inaugural executive program began last week at the NASA Ames campus in Silicon Valley. The nine day course will allow industry leaders and MBA students to listen to some of the most innovative thinkers discuss the future of technology. Already, execs have attended classes, explored nearby companies, and driven around in a cherry red Tesla roadster (see the video after the break).

Part of Singularity University’s unique approach to executive training focuses on getting attendees to use social networking to connect their experience to the wider world. You can follow most of what happens in the program on SU’s twitter feed. Making their $15,000 per person program as transparent and publicly accessible as possible is a revolutionary, and some might say, economically dangerous idea. Why pay for the university cow when you get the cyber milk for free? Yet, Singularity University is betting that the uniqueness of their program will continually attract new attendees while recognizing that part of that program is wasted if it can’t be shared with the global community. You get the feeling that SU is trying to show that the new executive must be globally conscience and future-minded.

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by Keith Kleiner on November 3rd, 2009

I just saw a story about the NSA gearing up a datacenter to potentially hold a yottabyte of surveillance data. The whole surveillance angle itself is pretty interesting, but what caught my attention was the concept of the yottabyte.   The yottabyte is 1024 bytes. That is three levels above the petabyte, which itself is a million gigabytes. If that doesn’t make much sense to you, here is a chart from wikipedia that might help:

yottabyte

As little as 10 years ago the petabyte seemed just as large and amazing as the yottabyte sounds today. Now it is common for companies such as Google or Facebook to hold several petabytes of information in just one of their many datacenters across the world.

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Vint Cerf's SU lecture is now free to view online. Stern glances still have to be aquired in person.

Vint Cerf's SU lecture is now free to view online. Stern glances still have to be acquired in person.

If there’s one thing all the future gurus seem to agree on, it’s that the democratization of technology has the ability to improve everyone’s quality of life. Access to information is really the first step towards self-empowerment. It’s very fitting then, that Singularity University, who’s goal is to harness the exponential growth in technology to solve humanity’s grand challenges, has decided to place some of the lectures from the summer session online. SU’s YouTube channel recently saw the addition of full length videos for the presentations by Bob Metcalfe and Vint Cert. Make some time for both videos, they are long but very informative. We’ve embedded them after the break.

It’s unclear if all of the Singularity University lectures will eventually go online, but these two videos alone are a pretty cool freebie. SU costs around $25k for nine weeks of lectures, exercises, field trips, experiments, and discussions. The first year summer session recently finished with remarkable success. While you can’t get the same experience from YouTube, it is a great way to see what Singularity University is all about.
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This is a guest post written by entrepreneur and visionary David Orban.  He is an Advisor and the European Lead of the Singularity University. He is a Founder and Chief Evangelist of WideTag, Inc., a high technology start-up company providing the infrastructure for an open Internet of Things. David cuts across the limits of deep specialization to contribute to the new renaissance. He explains,“My vision is at the crossroads of technology and society as defined by their co-evolution.” His personal motto is,“What is the question I should be asking?” This concept is his vehicle to accelerating cycles of invention and innovation in order to build the new world ahead.

The Singularity Summit 2009 was a resounding success in New York this past weekend, Oct 3-4 2009.  For those who are not familiar with the Singularity Summit, it is the most prominent, high profile annual event focused on the Singularity.  Over 800 attendees crowded the prestigious venue of the 92 Street Y, an important landmark in the cultural scene of the city.

During the two days of the conference there were over 30 speeches and panels, luckily in a single sequence without the burden and compromise that parallel sessions so too often put on the attendees. From the creation of an Artificial General Intelligence, the Whole Brain Emulation approach, Synthetic Neurobiology, Intelligent Agent, there were many somewhat technical sessions, interspersed with others that were more generally concerned with cognition, and its biases, quantum computing, or lighter but not less important subjects such as autonomous vehicles, the petaflop macroscope, and others. Surely there will be detailed reports of many if not all of these. All the talks were recorded by both SIAI and 92Y, and the videos should be online soon.

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by Aaron Saenz on October 5th, 2009

dr_cantonLots of people talk about the future, but few can reliably predict trends. James Canton has enough experience with the future that he helps others by acting like a guide. His accomplishments are wide-ranging: executive at Apple as they prepared to launch Macintosh in the early 80s, founder of numerous influential think tanks including the Institute for Global Futures, advisor to the National Science Foundation, etc. He advises Global Fortune 1000 companies and governments, he was an adviser on the new SciFi action movie Surrogates staring Bruce Willis. He’s written books about the future (including The Extreme Future and Technofutures), was named as ‘the Digital Guru’ by CNN’, and serves as the co-chair of Singularity University’s Futures and Forecasting Track. In short, James Canton spends most of his time planning ahead and helping others do the same. I was lucky enough to grab him for a phone interview and asked him to share some of what he envisioned as our collective possible futures.

“Most of the bleeding edge innovations that somehow we take for granted today, and those that have not yet fully emerged…I get to see a lot of those first…and often times work on them.” — James Canton, 2009

Dr. Canton has so many stories about his experiences with future tech and trend spotting that almost anything can get him going. He and I talked over a free conference call system (FreeConferenceCall.com). The idea of free conference calling, when it emerged years ago, was so novel that Canton remembers people worrying it was some sort of future tech hijacked from time travelers. Crazy what some will assume, but Canton also worked with the first voice over IP platform creators starting fifteen years ago. Their idea was so ahead of its time that the group just recently got their patent last year. Now VOIP accounts for as much as 25% of all telephony traffic today. Some real trends inspire nutty beliefs, some unbelievable trends take years to make reality. Canton has an eye for spotting both.

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The Blue Brain Project was able to simulate part of the brain during a thought.

The Blue Brain Project was able to simulate part of the brain during a thought.

Many of you, like me, are excited about the possibilities of modeling and simulating the human brain. The Blue Brain Project, based in Switzerland, and made possible by IBM, is one of the leading endeavors to understand how the brain functions and how we can build a computer that will simulate those functions for us to explore. If our earlier article on the Blue Brain Project left you eager to learn more, check out the new presentation that Project Director Henry Markram gave as part of Seed Magazine’s Seed Design Series. The 15 minute video is embedded after the break.

If you want to understand something, it helps to be able to explore it, tinker with it, and watch how it works. Computer simulations allows scientists to do just that. For an instrument as complex and beautiful as the human brain, a simulation would require enormous resources. Markram estimates that it will take computers 20,000 times more powerful than any produced today, and with memory capacity 500 times the current size of the Internet. We’re talking exaflops worth of computing power and peta or exabytes of memory stored. Yet Markram seems confident we can reach these goals in about 10 years.

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